If you’re a diesel consumer, Tuesday could fairly be described as a terrible, horrible, no good, very bad day.
The only development in the market that slightly mitigated the negativity was the fact that the Department of Energy/Energy Information Administration weekly average retail diesel price rose by just a small amount, to $4.492 a gallon — an increase of 1.7 cents. It’s the eighth time in the past nine weeks that the price rose; the other time it was unchanged.
During those nine weeks, the price has risen 72.6 cents a gallon. It’s at the highest level since the Feb. 6 mark of $4.539 a gallon.
The weekly price was released a day late due to the Labor Day holiday.
But even Tuesday’s moderate increase reflects a national average, and regional prices in some cases have risen a lot more. That is a problem for fleets that set their fuel surcharges to the national price but pay local prices out on the road.
For example, the DOE/EIA average price in the Rocky Mountains rose 6.9 cents a gallon. Prices in New England climbed 3.4 cents a gallon.
The California average price, which is always well over $1 more than the national average, climbed even further, an increase of 12.3 cents. However, fuel surcharges in California generally are not tied to the national average.
Additionally, the relatively muted increase stands in sharp contrast to the average daily price in the DTS.USA data series in FreightWaves’ SONAR and also to some granular data made available by Pilot Flying J.
That leading travel center chain posts a downloadable spreadsheet of its retail prices for its more than 700 outlets nationwide. Data between Aug. 30 and Wednesday — not the exact time spread surveyed by EIA but with a great deal of overlap — shows some significantly higher increases but some places where the price at the pump didn’t rise at all and some where it fell.
That data is showing the wide range of retail price changes going on in a market where futures prices for ultra low sulfur diesel on the CME commodity exchange have swung wildly just since mid-August.
ULSD settled Aug. 15 at $3.028 a gallon. By Aug. 25, it settled at $3.3075, then dropped to $3.1095 last Friday before popping back up Tuesday to $3.2196.
The volatility continued Wednesday. After an 11.46-cents-per-gallon increase Tuesday, the ULSD settlement Wednesday was $3.1927 a gallon, down 2.69 cents. But the swing between low and high over the day was almost 10 cents a gallon.
And at the retail pumps at Pilot, that sort of volatility was playing out. The average increase between Aug. 30 and Wednesday, according to FreightWaves’ review of the data in the spreadsheet, was about 2.4 cents a gallon, not much higher than the 1.7-cents-per-gallon increase posted by DOE/EIA.
But look at the individual station data, and there are many increases during that time of 10 to 15 cents per gallon and some as much as 34 cents a gallon. That can significantly limit any correlation between the DOE/EIA price used for fuel surcharges and the actual price some truckers are paying at certain outlets.
The other news Tuesday in the terrible, horrible, no good, very bad day for diesel included the following developments:
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